Montpelier 5/22/2012
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  1. On balance, the LRB’s proposed Senate map appears to be slightly more advantageous to the Republicans than the current Senate map, for the following reasons:

    1. One Democratic incumbent in Burlington would lose his/her seat.

    2. Bobby Starr (D) will be in a very competitive race with Vince Illuzzi for the Orleans seat, and could lose.

    3. The Republicans will be competitive in the open seat in the new two-member Grand Isle-Chittenden district. Dick Mazza (D) will win one of the two seats, but a Republican candidate could win the second seat. Colchester and Milton, the two largest towns in the district, are more Republican than the rest of Chittenden County.

    4. The Republicans could possibly win the open seat in the new two-member Chittenden East district. Diane Snelling (R) is the only incumbent who now lives in this district. However, the GOP’s prospects for picking up an open seat look better in Chittenden-Grand Isle than in Chittenden East.

    5. Moving Brandon (a strong Republican town) from the Addison to the Rutland district makes it less likely that the Democrats will ever win more than one of the three seats in that district.

    6. Moving the Orange County towns along the Connecticut River that are now in the Caledonia district to the new Orange-Windsor North district makes it more likely that the Republicans hold on to one seat in the new Caledonia district, and possibly win both seats, if Jane Kitchel were to retire or be appointed to another position sometime in the next decade.

    It will be interesting to see how the Senate reacts to the LRB’s proposal come January. There could well be a push to keep a 6-person Chittenden district that recombines the LRB’s proposed 2-person Chittenden Central, Chittenden East, and Chittenden West districts. Certainly the Burlington Democrats would prefer keeping a 6-member Chittenden district.

  2. Personally, I think this plan is an improvement. A six-member district is too unwieldy, and is unfair.

    Right now, a Chittenden County resident has six senators who will listen to them closely because he or she is a constituent, and that resident gets to vote for six senators. The rest of us only have one or two or three senators who will pay close attention, and we can’t vote for as many senators.

  3. why don’t they just do away with our northest kingdom senators all to gether. burlington dosen’t care about us anyhow!

  4. The Northeast Kingdom is to Vermont as Vermont is to the nation. Too few people to give a damn about. Why else do questionably justifiable wind projects get to rape our ridges with our governor and congressional cheering them on in the name of appearing to support alternative energy. This is just another case of those who live in an area of sparse population being a dumping ground. I’m a little surprised that no one has proposed us as an alternative to Yucca Mountain.

  5. Personally I have always thought that we should change the format to the national model. Areas with more population already get more representation in the House. We should have 2 Senators per county x 14 counties = 28 Senators. We could drop 2 from the current group and give each part of the State equal representation in the Senate and proportional representation in the House.

  6. The most radical changes are really in Southern Vermont and I have serious, serious concerns about this map. The real problem is the people on the LRB are not from southern Vermont. There is no one with any knowledge or comprehension of the demographics, the towns, the geography or anything (for that matter) about Windham, Windsor and Bennington Counties.

    I am happy that the Legislature declared this plan “dead on arrival” and I trust them a hell of a lot more than the Republicans and Progressives in putting together a plan that supports them and them only.

    I doubt any significant changes will occur when the Legislature is done with this and we can move on.

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