Health Care

The Next Wave: VTDigger’s series on the future of Covid

Covid testing and daily cases graph
For the next few months of the Covid-19 response, government officials, experts, health care workers and Vermonters are looking to the past to predict the future. Photo illustration by Mike Dougherty/VTDigger

VTDigger’s Next Wave series, published this week, examines the potential impact of a Covid-19 resurgence.


As the state continues to see a relatively low rate of Covid-19 cases, the virus is spreading rapidly in other parts of the country. Could Vermont see another surge? How could national trends impact the state’s reopening? And how are the state’s health care systems, businesses and government officials preparing?

In Part 1: Epidemiologists say a second wave is inevitable, given the nature of a disease that can cross borders and infect broadly. Now, government officials, experts, health care workers and Vermonters are poring over the data and looking to the past to predict the future.

In Part 2: Vermont’s senior living facilities faced challenges with staffing, lower revenue, and in some cases deep loss, during the pandemic. The uncertainty is anything but over.

In Part 3: The state’s reliance on the hospitality industry could make an already steep economic recovery even more difficult. “If you think of a ratio with spread of the virus relative to economic harm, Vermont is off the charts in the extremely bad direction,” said one expert.

Plus: In an extended interview, public health expert Richard Hopkins describes how Vermont’s success in containing the disease so far relates to the “anxiety-provoking” surge in cases across the United States.

Hear more on this week’s Deeper Dig podcast.

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