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  1. In my opinion Entergy is just greedy!
    They want to continue running the old leaking plant 20 more years even after supporting the law that gives Vermont the right to issue a certificate of public good or NOT to issue it.

    I don’t believe Entergy is an honest corporation.

  2. First, two related comments:
    1) The problem with the “Dog that didn’t bark” is that it DID, as a matter of fact, bark. “Here, the dog that didn’t bark was the lack of references during hearings and debates to other reasons for authorizing a legislative veto of continued Vermont Yankee operations.” The fact of the matter is that the record is REPLETE with other reasons. One need look no further than to the reports and testimony that Entergy itself brought into the courtroom.

    Entergy cited a myriad of studies on issues of reliability, job loss, tax revenues, etc. to argue that there was no merit to closing VY. Moreover, Entergy acknowledges that most if not all these issues are NOT preempted (and they’re wrong about the ones they say ARE preempted, but that’s for another day). By doing so, Energy has tacitly acknowledged that the legislature DID consider these same issues. It’s worth noting, in passing, that Act 160 requires the studies, but presumably legislators would not have commissioned studies about whose conclusions they were already fully convinced. The results of the studies may have some bearing on the reasoning behind the 2010 vote; the results can have NO bearing on the constitutionality of the Act which simply commissions them.

    But those are not the only other dogs in the barking kennel. As I have reminded Mr. Kreis before, the Enexus deal was pending at the time of the Senate vote, and the Senate Finance Committee (and maybe others) took significant testimony on the issue from a variety of sources, including, but not limited to Entergy (Jay Thayer) and DPS. This concern weighed heavily on the minds of Senators; I know: I discussed it with them myself. In particular, several of VY’s most ardent supporters voted against continued operations, at least partly because of the Enexus deal. Senator Illuzzi published an op-ed in the Rutland Herald to say just that.

    Which leads to my second point:

    2) As Mr. Kreis acknowledges, trials are needed to resolve matters of fact. What I have just stated is a matter of fact, and it remains UNRESOLVED in this case. Entergy alleges that there are no barking dogs. The State will, one hopes, present substantial testimony to show that there are many of them. If the judge buys this argument and grants an injunction, a trial WOULD be needed to determine whether the facts presented so far correctly represent what actually happened.

    There is a third problem with this “dog that didn’t bark argument. By definition, this argument tells us to look NOT at what the text DOES say, but what it does NOT say. Entergy backhandedly acknowledges that the legislature was well-schooled in preemption law (it took a great deal of time in courtroom and space in its briefs to enumerate instances of such schooling). Entergy is also tacitly acknowledging that the text of the laws they are challenging, as written, reflects little, or nothing (the words “public health” continue to pose about the only remaining issue) that is facially preempted. For just this reason, Entergy is telling us to look AWAY from the text for the “dog that didn’t bark,” i.e. for the preempted motivation that isn’t expressed in the text. The problem with this argument is that once one is untethered from textual interpretation, one can go just about anywhere.

    And that’s exactly what Entergy does. Unlike Sherlock Holmes, who, if memory serves me, merely deduces that the killer was NOT a dog (Hound of the Baskervilles), Ms. Sullivan unleashes a whole chain of deduction from her non-barking dog. Her argument is structured like this: if the text does not mean what it (only) SEEMS to say, then it must mean something else. This leads to the next (tacit) inference: if I present the whole universe of possible explanations for meaning, and then eliminate all those which are impossible, then I must be left with the “real” explanation.

    Anyone looking at that statement should smell a problem: it’s not easy to define whole universes, especially when, as here, they are universes of meaning in the minds of others. Failure to include ANY possible member of the universe can potentially lead to a false conclusion, since that possibility will NOT have been eliminated.

    Yet we know that this is not only possible here; it’s exactly what occurred. The Enexus deal WAS examined by the Senate, but to the best of my knowledge, it has NOT been introduced to the court. So the universe in the court’s record is incomplete, which means that Sullivan’s inference does NOT follow.

    Please note. I am NOT arguing that, as a matter of FACT, Enexus determines the meaning of the vote. I am arguing that, as a matter of LOGIC, there is nothing which tells us it isn’t. (A factual inquiry could well determine that it’s completely irrelevant, but that needs to be done on the base of an evidential record; Sullivan’s logical universe is flawed, as is her argument as presented. This is one example: decommissioning issues are another. Issues surrounding the impacts of events at Vermont Yankee on the “Vermont brand” are a third. In fact, there’s much more to the universe of possibilities than Sullivan presents. Yet, her argument REQUIRES that the possibilities presented represent ALL the possibilities.

    The remaining problems concern not the definition of the possible universe of meanings, but rather the method used to eliminate possibilities. It too is flawed. Sullivan argues, in effect, the legislature commissioned studies, so they MUST agree with their results. This is pretty obviously absurd when put this way: a heavily Democratic legislature asks a very Republican administration to produce studies and therefore MUST believe every jot and tittle of the conclusions of the studies. If you believe that, we need to talk about this bridge I have for sale in Brooklyn.

    What Sullivan is really assuming is: We find these studies convincing, so EVERYBODY must have found these studies convincing, or more precisely, it is inconceivable that legislators still had doubts about these issues after reading the studies, and that their votes and enactments were — in part — determined by these issues.

    Two final points. First, we are perilously close here to asking a federal judge to determine NOT the constitutionality of a law, but rather the merits of a decision. In fact, Sullivan’s process of elimination proves less than what is required. Accepted at face value, it may well prove that legislators were WRONG in their concerns about the issues covered by the studies, but unless you believe that legislators ALWAYS make the right decisions and inferences, it does NOT prove that these issues were not of concern to them. It is worth pointing out that it is perfectly Constitutional for a legislature to pass wrongheaded or even silly laws. In other words, Sullivan’s argument only appears to get us where we need to go: namely, to the elimination of everything other than safety issues.

    Lastly, Sullivan’s process of elimination REQUIRES that the studies she cites 1) constitute the whole universe of consideration on these issues (they don’t), 2) that they be properly represented in her discussion of them (they aren’t), and 3) that they be correct (many are not). I know the first point is false, because I wrote on a number of these subjects myself, and sent my writing to almost every member of the legislature. I know the second point is incorrect, because I’ve read the studies. MANY of them are far more nuanced than she represents. Finally, I believe the third point is wrong, because I’ve critiqued a number of these studies personally (and again, shared the results with legislators), and the State produced compelling evidence that some of these studies are wrong, or out of date.

    To sum up, Mr. Kreis is absolutely correct that this is the nub of Entergy’s argument. Without demonstrating that a facially non-preemptable law means something entirely different from what it actually says, Entergy is left with a perfectly Constitutional set of enactments. In my estimation, this is exactly where we are.

    P.S. Kreis is also correct that the words “public health,” which appear in Act 160 appear problematic and seemed to trouble the judge. But the issue is, at best, exceedingly minor. The words appear, as best as I can determine, only once, in reference to the aforementioned studies: Section 254 (b) (2) says “The studies arranged by the department in consultation with the joint energy committee and the public engagement process, in general, shall… (B) ) identify, collect information on, and provide analysis of long term environmental, economic, and public health issues, including issues relating to dry cask storage of nuclear waste and decommissioning options.” The State pointed out that this is part of one item in a lengthy list of topics to be studied. In any case, whether the studies did or did not get into questions of radiological health is now a determinable matter of fact: we can look at the studies themselves. Since Entergy CITES the studies in defense of their argument, it’s pretty hard to believe that they do, in fact, cover preempted issues. In any case, they have not, to my knowledge, presented any argument anywhere suggesting that the studies, as written, do in fact discuss preempted issues of public health.

    Finally, the judge pointed out that the words also appear in — indeed, may be lifted from — Act 248 and that the process of ascertaining most CPGs has nothing whatever to do with radiological health and safety issues. I’m out of my water here, but I would guess that looking at the meaning of the phrase in Act 248 would give substantial comfort that this Act has not entered into any field preempted by the federal government. The State needs to do a better job of presenting that argument, however; the judge was clearly not convinced, nor frankly, was I.

    P.S. There is an interesting dialogue on this article on the VT Law School’s website where it also appears, including my comment here.

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